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    U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses the crowd at a campaign rally in Farmington, New Hampshire January 25, 2016

    Lobbyists: If Trump Wins, Military-Industrial Complex Will Move to Europe

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    Defense lobbyists claim billions in arms sales to repressive Middle East dictatorships will be lost.

    The US defense industry and national security analysts have expressed growing alarm that a Donald Trump presidency may cost the defense industry billions of dollars in its illicit sales to repressive Middle East dictatorships, according to a recent report.

    A "President Trump may prove offensive to Islamic leaders and those countries might seek alternative sources of weapons systems," says Byron Callan, an analyst with Capital Alpha Partners. He suggests that this could benefit European weapon makers, if militaristic dictators choose to "reduce US defense dependence."

    The report asserts that billions of dollars that would be lost for Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, and buyers could conceivably shift to European arms makers such as BAE Systems, Airbus, Thales, and Finmeccanica.

    With the winding down of the military quagmires in Iraq and Afghanistan, US weapons sales have been heavily dependent on foreign sales. But arms markers suggest that the emergence of Daesh and a growing turmoil throughout the Middle East have been a boon, resulting in a steep jump in arms deals.

    One lobbyist claimed that Trump’s rhetorical promise of a proposed travel ban for Muslims has been terrible for the defense industry’s ability to force Beltway politicians to advance arms deals with Islamic countries. "Anti-Muslim rhetoric absolutely does not help when you’re trying to sell to the Middle East," said the lobbyist.

    In 2015, the US government approved $21 billion in arms sales to Saudi Arabia, among the world’s worst human rights violators. The repressive Arab kingdom in Riyadh ranked in the bottom 9% of countries in a study by the United Nations Human Rights Council.

      

    Fortunately for non-lobbyists, xenophobic statements may inadvertently advance their common interest, as recent public opinion polls show that the US arms trade with repressive Middle Eastern regimes is increasingly unpopular with Americans.  

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    Tags:
    Middle East, dictatorship, human rights abuse, human rights, Middle East, arms trade, arms deal, arms, Daesh, United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC), Finmeccanica, Thales, Airbus, BAE Systems, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Byron Callan, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Saudi Arabia, Europe, United States
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    • tony p
      Then Trump needs to win.
    • 708bba9d
      Its a sad situation when a countries wealth is dependent on "how many guns it sells", basically a killing monopoly.
    • Aon Duine
      They can't just move overseas. The government won't let them bring military secrets to foreign countries. They may be private businesses but the government has to sign off on sales of military technology.
    • Bob Hofererin reply tojas(Show commentHide comment)
      jas, Damn...you wrote my 'exact' response. You are right on.
    • Bob Hofererin reply tomichael(Show commentHide comment)
      michael, This is a good 'forum' to be on. Mostly brilliant people post here, unlike on most US forums.
    • seanrkearney
      What no more warmongering? Does that mean we neo cons will all have to finally work for a living? How does one do that and still have time for ones mistresses!!!! Arrrrrrgggghhhhhh!!!!!!!
    • earlw35
      Good, let them go to Europe, the Military Industrial Complex will crumble. Bet Merkel and Hollande won't like that.
    • Ivan Buckeyein reply toA = π r 2(Show commentHide comment)
      ultravi01et, no one could have said it better than how you just did!
    • michaelin reply toBob Hoferer(Show commentHide comment)
      Bob, I think one of the strengths is that people here can be seen from many different cultures and consequently, they are joined in a conversation not one upmanship as it were. (with the odd exception :) )
    • Marc Nonnenkamp
      The defense industry in the USA has undergone a gradual but inevitable decline since the end of World War Two. Nothing moves in a straight line, and everything on earth is governed by Elliott Waves going up and down in either motive or corrective form. The Korean War, the Vietnam War and the War on Terror (Iraq, Afghanistan, etc.) were temporary blips in the upward direction. As time moves forward and especially as the US economy contracts due to the collapsing debt bubble, collapsing demographics and ultimately due to the last and biggest bubble of them all (the US Dollar) the defense industry in the USA will undergo an incredible shrinking act.
    • Mother Gorilla
      Only if the Europeans accept even more MIC instead of cutting down on it.
    • Mother Gorillain reply tomichael(Show commentHide comment)
      michael, true.
    • cmat.wolfgangin reply toAon Duine(Show commentHide comment)
      Aon Duine,
      you are right, this is just hog wash of Lobbyists trying to influence US voters. There is much more resistance to arms sales in Europe than in the US. And Europe is much more in decline than the US. When the UK splits off and Le Pen is in power in France and significant numbers of voters for the AfD blocks the traditional parties in Germany, there may be extrem tensions between the US and the EU. That's why the US is trying to enforce TTIP soon since the time window is closing.
    • PaleRiderin reply toAnn (Show commentHide comment)
      sixpack6t9, That's correct, it's just political nonsense to get voters to vote with the lobby. The us defense industry is not moving anywhere no matter what. If people really want to change the "culture of money" then stop buying their products, I do not buy Apple and I do not use Facebook-- I hate the little rat-faced weasel.
    • PaleRiderin reply toMarc Nonnenkamp(Show commentHide comment)
      Marc Nonnenkamp, I am not sure I agree. Currently there are no shortages of nations and groups that are willing to buy weapons, they may not be big ticket weapons, but weapons nevertheless. Additionally, there also is no shortage of nations manufacturing and selling these weapons (the big 3). So as long as there is a market for them there will be competition for them, and if the US companies are competitive in price and quality, they will continue to make and sell arms. The bigger question, I think, is what will happen to many of the countries, and waring/terrorist groups when the technological breakthrough in alternative energy arrives that replaces in a big way, their primary export, oil. For an obvious example where would ISIS get its money, and what would be the ensentive for Turkey to continue to behave stupidity!
      This is plausible irrespective of the US federal debt - just a thought.
    • surferket
      If Trump is Presient the world will see a huge winding down on wars and "terrorist" acts.
      No country will benefit from shifting arms sales from US to Europe since there will be no wars all around the world, no more scaremongering about the Chinese Yellow Peril sweeping to engulf Asia, no Cossacks from the steppes to enslave Europe.
    • Ann in reply toMarc Nonnenkamp(Show commentHide comment)
      Marc Nonnenkamp, "the defense industry in the USA will undergo an incredible shrinking act"...yeah, but unfortunately, not until AFTER we've ticked off every other country in the world.
    • Woe for Europe! They have it bad enough now with the American induced refugees, what'll they do with a gaggle of psychopaths? Oh, right, they already have their own.
    • earlw35
      Great good riddance, the Military Industrial Complex will fall.
    • David Sheremetev
      Move, or get rid of Trump?

      I wonder which choice is easiest and most likely.
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