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    Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko wipes his brow during a press conference with his German and French counterparts following talks at the chancellery in Berlin on August 24, 2015

    IMF Delaying New Loan to Ukraine Signals Shift in West's Stance Towards Kiev

    © AFP 2017/ TOBIAS SCHWARZ
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    On Sunday it was reported that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) postponed the third review of its loan program to Ukraine. According to sources, the decision was surprising and was provoked by a decision by the Ukrainian government to suspend cargo transportation with Donbass areas not controlled by Kiev.

    Later, the delay was confirmed by the Ukrainian Finance Ministry.

    "The IMF Executive Board postponed for a short period looking into the third review of increased loans to Ukraine, which was planned for Monday," the ministry said in a statement.

    The planned meeting was expected to result in the disbursement of a $1 billion loan to Kiev.

    The blockade of railway tracks between the self-proclaimed Donbass republics and Ukraine began in late January by former participants of military operations in Donbass. It has led to disruptions in deliveries of anthracite coal to Kiev-controlled territories. The blockade led to irregularities in supplies of anthracite coal from Donbass, leading to power shortages in Ukraine and prompting Kiev to declare an energy emergency.

    There have been a series of reports that Western governments were critical of the blockade and its following legitimization by Poroshenko.

    In particular, in a recent phone conversation with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, top French diplomat Jean-Marc Ayrault expressed dissatisfaction over the blockade.

    According to a statement by the Russian Foreign Ministry, "Ayrault confirmed that France wants the blockade of Donbass to be ended."

    Earlier, the blockade was criticized by German Foreign Ministry spokesperson Martin Schaefer who said that Kiev’s actions deepen separatist tendencies in Donbass. He added that the Ukrainian government was not actively opposing the activists, which blocked the cargo traffic.

    According to political analyst and economist Alexander Dudchak, by postponing its review of a new loan, the IMF came up with a handy excuse for not paying to Ukraine.

    "There is no need for the IMF to help keep the Ukrainian economy afloat. Moreover, the expected loan of $1 billion would not have a significant impact on the economic situation in Ukraine," Dudchak told the Russian online publication Vzglyad.

    The expert pointed out that the move by the IMF is important because it signals that the West has changed its stance towards Ukraine.

    "Previously, economic and financial tools were used to force Kiev to make certain political steps in the interests of the United States and its Western partners. But now there is no need for that. That’s finished. Kiev is on a track it can hardly turn away from. There is no need for a demonstrative financial policy anymore," Dudchak said.

    He added that Ukraine is failing to observe its financial obligations, including to Russia, and no country will do business with such a partner.

    "The Ukrainian economy is de facto nearing a default, but Kiev doesn’t want to admit that. On the other hand, I think that Ukraine will continue to receive some financial assistance from abroad, but sufficient only to keep the political elite in power, rather than to rebuild its economy," the expert added.

    In turn, according to Ukrainian economist Alexander Okhrimenko, in fact, the West does not have economic reasons not to unveil a new tranche of financial support for Kiev. However, according to unofficial information, US President Donald Trump took umbrage at Poroshenko for not coordinating the cargo blockade of Donbass with US Ambassador to Kiev Marie Yovanovitch.

    "In other words, Poroshenko made free with the situation and forgot that he should coordinate his actions with Washington. As a result, the IMF delayed a new loan," Okhrimenko told Vzglyad.

    At the same time, the economist noted, Kiev does not really need that money so much.

    "This year, Ukraine has to settle its old loans to the IMF, some $1.3 billion, and $2 billion in other debts. Kiev needs a total sum of $3.5 billion. Now, Ukraine’s gold and exchange reserves are nearly $15.4 billion. So, Ukraine has money for that," he said.

    Nevertheless, the decision by the IMF is a blow to the reputation of the Ukrainian government.

    "They explained their reforms, including an increase in tariffs and taxes, with the requirements from the IMF. But now the situation is that reforms have been implemented but the IMF double-crossed Kiev," the economist concluded.


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    Tags:
    economy, loan, transport blockade, International Monetary Fund, Petro Poroshenko, Donald Trump, Donbass, Ukraine, United States
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    • avatar
      mzungu in Africa
      In Kiev the party is over.
    • avatar
      marcanhalt
      Another sharp stick in the eye of the coupists. You have to love it.
    • avatar
      Glamoureus
      The Frensh are no longer friends of Russia.

      "Jean-Marc Ayrault spoke on the phone with his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov. The two ministers agreed to intensify efforts in the Normandy format to implement the Minsk accords, as the situation on the ground is still cause for concern. The French minister stressed the responsibility of all parties to respect the ceasefire and to withdraw heavy weapons. He denounced the measures taken by the separatist entities, notably with regard to the expropriation of Donbass enterprises, which did not go in the direction of peace.

      www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/fr/dossiers-pays/russie/evenements/article/entretien-telephonique-de-jean-mar


      The FM of France mor or less supports the blockade of Donbass.
    • avatar
      ViTran
      Trmpz and Haily Love Banderistan ... we see it every time Haily opens mouth at UN
    • avatar
      ViTranin reply toGlamoureus(Show commentHide comment)
      Glamoureus, French failed to honor contract, Mistral ...

      From that point France and Banderistan have been one ... sing from same hymn sheet
    • sapper
      What will Kiev shoot at now, now that they have shot their own feet to bits??? Just shows how inept they are!! No doubt the West will leave Russia to pick up the bits and glue them all back together!!!
    • sapperin reply toGlamoureus(Show commentHide comment)
      Glamoureus, What Kiev has found out the hard way is that if you keep abusing someone long-term there will eventually be a reaction and not the one they expect.
    • Drain the swamp
      Coz oligarki waiting to steal the money and run off to England,Swiss,Israel leaving the dumb poles aka Ukrainians to pay off the debt.
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