The gloomy forecast comes ahead of the EC's formal opinion on Italy's 2017 draft budget predictions.
It seems Italy, which has suffered three earthquakes this year is on shaky economic ground.
The southern European country has also received unprecedented levels of refugees and migrants who cross the Mediterranean with the hope they'll move on to wealthier northern European countries.
However, European Union rules stipulated that Italy had to process all arriving migrants on its own soil at so-called hotspots, costing the country its time and resources.
EC President Jean-Claude Juncker, says he understands the position and predicament Italy is in.
"When it comes to the migrant problem and the reconstruction costs after the earthquake, our place is at Italy's side, and not against it," Mr. Juncker said during a recent speech in Berlin, Germany.
Yet the EC says that unless Rome alters its course, Italy's budget deficit, which is what the government spends compared to what it earns, will stay the same next year.
The EC predicts Italy's gross domestic product (the total value of goods and services that the country provides) will remain 2.4 percent, perhaps even rising to 2.5 percent in 2018.
The country's structural deficit, which is the imbalance between the government's expenses and receipts, has also been rising since 2014, going against EU rules which stipulate members have to cut their structural deficit by at least 0.5 percent each year until their books are balanced.
Italy is blaming the volume spent on migration and reconstruction following this year's earthquakes; but the Commission said the excuse was "not constructive."
But for a country which has been at the receiving end of Europe's biggest migration crisis since the Second World War and which suffered two earthquakes in one year, its economic excuses are its reality.