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    Syrian pro-government fighters fire a Russian 122mm howitzer gun as they advance in the recently recaptured village of Joubah during an offensive towards the area of Al-Bab in Aleppo province, on November 25, 2016

    Why Syrian Aleppo Will Not be Liberated Within Next Three Months

    © AFP 2016/ GEORGE OURFALIAN
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    Commenting on the slow progress in the military operation to liberate the Syrian city of Aleppo from Daesh militants, Russian political analysts have suggested why it is not going to be retaken at least within the three upcoming months.

    "Until the inauguration of US President-Elect Donald Trump, Russia is going to limit the activity of its Aerospace Forces in Syria, thus Aleppo is not going to be liberated within the three upcoming months," Shamil Sultanov, President of the Center for Strategic Studies "Russia and the Islamic World" said at a roundtable discussion on the resumption of the operation of the Russian Aerospace Forces in Syria and the prospects of the settlement of the Syrian crisis at RIA Novosti.

    According to the political analyst, all the parties to the conflict will be waiting until the inauguration of Donald Trump, which is scheduled for January 20, 2017, and will resume the military operations after they understand the policies of the new US administration.

    Fighter from the Syrian pro-government forces patrol in the recently recaptured village of Joubah during an offensive advancing towards the area of Al-Bab in Aleppo province, on November 25, 2016
    © AFP 2016/ GEORGE OURFALIAN
    Fighter from the Syrian pro-government forces patrol in the recently recaptured village of Joubah during an offensive advancing towards the area of Al-Bab in Aleppo province, on November 25, 2016

    "Until then, Russia is going to limit the activity of its Aerospace Forces in order not to damage the potential dynamics of the relationship with Trump," he therefore suggested.

    Meanwhile another Russian expert, Colonel-General Leonid Ivashov, the President of the Academy of Geopolitical Studies and former head of the main department of international military cooperation of the Russian Defense Ministry (1996-2001) said that the Syrian city has not been liberated because of the interference of US Secretary of State John Kerry.

    "I think that the interference of US Secretary of State John Kerry has halted the liberation of the Syrian city," he said during the same discussion.

    "When the plan of the multidimensional operation was laid out, he called with a request to postpone it," he further explained.

    However the expert said that the Russian military should operate in Syria in accordance with "Russia's policy and not get distracted by any humanitarian pauses."

    "The military aspects of the operation should be a priority, because what we are witnessing right now is that the so-called "moderate" opposition, as well as the non-moderates do not agree to any terms. They are just trying to win time to strengthen their defense, to replenish their armaments and to reinforce their personnel," he said.

    Meanwhile reports from the area say that the fighting in Aleppo has recently intensified. The Syrian army has retaken control over another important district in rebel-held eastern Aleppo.

    Government forces have advanced with a ground and air assault on the edge of the besieged eastern half of the city.

    The army has issued a statement saying that it had, alongside its allies, taken full control over the Hanano housing district, which is on the northeast frontline of the eastern sector.

    "Engineering teams are removing mines and improvised explosive devices planted by terrorists in the squares and streets," the statement said.

    According to UN estimates, at least 250,000 people are currently under siege in the city.

    Capturing all of Aleppo would be a major victory for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

    Related:

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    Syria's Army Takes Control of Key Aleppo District Paving Way for East of City
    Tags:
    liberation, inauguration, Syrian conflict, Daesh, Shamil Sultanov, Leonid Ivashov, Donald Trump, Syria, United States, Russia, Aleppo
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    • Tornado_Doom
      Russian hypocrisy.
    • ivanwa88
      Wrong progress at the moment is electrifying and residents are starting to trickle out there is little over 1000 meters between SAA & friends on the east and west sides of Eastern Aleppo before the terrorist held area is split in two.

      I could tell you what i believe will happen at that point but will hold back on the comment but certainly not only residents but militants will start to leave as has been the case already.
      The terrorists are falling apart at the seams and would say phase 1 will be completed within two weeks after that the more condensed areas come into play at that point the opposition will be rushing to get to a political solution.

      I heard yesterday from a media source that a missile was shot down that day aimed at SAA troops whether it was a false flag attempt I dont know? many desperate possibilities exist that aside I will assume that as the enemy is condensed into two smaller areas and a number surrender that more and more residents will get a chance to flee.

      Till the terrorists have no option but to walk out and surrender, that could take a further 3-4 weeks so the the 2 months is on the money but not for the reasons mentioned which is giving false hope to the terrorists and is treasonous by stupidity.
    • peaceactivist2
      Boxing match, soccer game, oe any other sports, you named it, the fastest mostly the winner. A champ could lost the bout should he taking his times during the rounds. Hope Russia knows what he is doing!
    • copius
    • Yaffle
      Russia has two major objectives in its Syrian battles: to end the threat from takfiri terrorists (supported by the USA) and to support its Syrian ally. If Takfiri terrorists succeed in the Middle East, they will pose a major threat to Russia, Central Asia and China. They are the successors to Afghanistan's Mujahideen that were trained, armed and financed by the USA and Saudi Arabia. American politics should not stop an all-out effort to destroy the Takfiris, wherever they appear.
    • landauroj
      Regardless the position of Trump on Syria, the Syrians and Russian will continue their war strategies. To wait for Trump presidency is just a show of patron to servants. Syrians own nothing to the USA regardless who is the president. Last Trump declaration with regard to Castro has shown a man that know nothing about Cuba. The Jews lost a lot of money in Cuba with sex houses and casinos. Remember the son in law of Trump is Jew. This man must be not trusted.
    • Drain the swamp
      Its the sauds pulling the strings, they will lose face among all takfiri/salafi headchoppers, jubeir is influencing Kerry behind the scenes. Really Russia has to bomb saud oil facilities to stop the flow of cash to the takfiris now.
    • demooij
      The European preferred warriors are hiding behind a human wall. This must be clear for all media clowns. Thy must be praying every day for Russia to go for it. Knowing the many death of unarmed can be used, rightfully, to crucify any Russian explanation. The best thing to do is the usual. Nothing. Thy, the hiders, have time not on their side. Media, yes, but thy are losing to.
    • amalgam
      Russia may want to sit out the next few months working on its global image, but I doubt the Syrian Arab Army is going to retire just so Russia can look good to the USA.
      Russia needs to be careful, it still has huge support in the West, but it does have an unfortunate habit of squandering that good will. It conveys a suspician, mistaken or not, that the war in Syria is dependent on relationships with its "partners".
    • aquadraht
      It does not look as if the Syrian Arab Army is waiting. After having liberated Masaken Hanano yesterday, they liberated Jabal Al Badro and, as it seems, also Ayn Al Tal and Haydariya districts, and infiltrated Sakhour, meaning that the whole north of the Aleppo pocket is on the verge of collapse. With progress in Sheik Lutfi area in the southeast, it looks as if the days of the terrorist stronghold in East Aleppo are counted, unless the terrorists manage to stabilize the fronts of their remaining territories.

      The Syrian Army, just having prevailed over west Ghouta insurgents at Khan al Sheikh, seem to have enough reserves to even reinforce the troops in Aleppo, so it is not likely that the fighting in east Aleppo will last long. And a last minute intervention of the USA is not likely.
    • Erik Trete
      I will play the part of the devil's advocate - Those who say the 3 week Humanitarian pause was either weakness or an attempt by Russia to polish its image... it proved beyond doubt to the UN humanitarian agency that the rebels would not allow in aid or civilians to escape.....it also resulted in the rebels drawing down their own supplies of food and ammunition as they attempted to keep civilians from fleeing and their own from deserting. It was a pause, but one during which the rebels had to remain on full alert reducing their combat effectiveness. It also gave the SAA a chance to acquire detailed info on rebel positions, position supplies and troops. Now that the SAA has renewed the attack, the results are plain to see, half of the rebel held territory has been liberated and the rebels divided into two groups complicating their logistics as well as their ability to muster sufficient numbers to press a counter attack. All good news for Syria and bad news for the "coalition".
    • choticastilein reply toivanwa88(Show commentHide comment)
      ivanwa88, Maybe they want to give them false hope? -- emphasis on false-- which it is. I personally would not read too much in what is said above... Many ways of skinning a cat ... Just read the following piece:--

      21stcenturywire.com/2016/11/29/aleppo-updates-tears-hugs-and-smiles-the-relief-of-escaping-imprisonm
    • choticastilein reply toTornado_Doom(Show commentHide comment)
      Tornado_Doom, No, don't agree. What is not being discussed here, are the massive complexities of this ongoing battle... If you read the following report, you'll see how much care Russia and the SAA are taking on behalf of the civilians-- What I admire is that they just keep on plugging at what is possibly the most hairy situation imaginable-- civilians caught in the middle-- The US for instance wouldn't have given a continental about these poor people-- while Russia and the SAA do-- No, can tell you right now, its getting too hot for these terros, they know the writing is on the wall. Read this piece and tell me what you think-- Just remember, Russia thinks things through ... 21stcenturywire.com/2016/11/29/aleppo-updates-tears-hugs-and-smiles-the-relief-of-escaping-imprisonm
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