02:18 GMT +314 November 2019
Listen Live
    Gold ingots

    Gold Rises, Dollar Declines as Fed Hints at Possible Price-Level Targeting

    Get short URL

    The Federal Reserve has released the minutes of its latest policy meeting, sending the dollar lower and boosting demand for gold, as investors envision greater market volatility ahead.

    Kristian Rouz – Gold prices posted solid gains in US trading Wednesday after the Fed minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were deemed as too dovish to market participants. The US dollar slid despite the central bank saying interest rates would soon go up, as overall macroeconomic data was weaker than expected.

    Investor demand for safe havens increased and gold gained the most as the investment appeal of its main competitor, US Treasury notes, tumbled.
    Gold’s spot price was up 1.1 percent at $1,293.92/oz., whilst gold futures rose $10.50/oz., or 0.8 percent, to $1,292.20/oz.

    The Fed minutes  showed policymakers are considering raising interest rates from the current gauge of 1.25-1.50 percent as economic growth is poised to accelerate. The report contradicted the Commerce Department data on domestic investment, stirring concern of a possible monetary policy mistake amongst investors.

    "There weren't any surprises within the Fed minutes," Michael Matousek of San Antonio-based US Global Investors said. "You can expect to see the incremental sales of gold, which is walking the fine line between balancing  portfolio allocation and interest rate expectation."

    Investors say gold will not retreat from its current highs until the Fed does actually raise the rates, which might happen in December. Higher rates would push the dollar’s FX rate, and benchmark Treasury note value higher, rendering  gold more expensive overseas. However, on the US market gold might feel the pinch beginning next month.

    READ MORE: Worth Its Weight in Gold: Chinese 'Imperial' Rice Sells for $150 Per Kilo

    On the other hand, some expect the Treasury value to decline as US inflation accelerates in line with solid consumer spending and faster economic growth.

    "Participants expected solid growth in consumer spending in the near term, supported by ongoing strength in the labor market," FOMC policymakers said in the minutes. "Many participants thought that another increase in the target range for the federal funds rate was likely to be warranted in the near term."

    Higher Treasury yields would produce higher market volatility, and support the demand and the price of gold.

    "Firmer core inflation readings in the year ahead should push the 10-year Treasury yield higher," Nick Exarhos of Toronto-based CIBC World Markets said.

    READ MORE: 'Secret Monetary Policy': Who Manipulates Gold Prices and Why

    Analysts at Saxo Bank expect gold to surpass the psychological threshold of $1,300/oz., and reach $1,325/oz. by year’s end.

    This as many investors may seek to diversify their portfolios and protect their holdings from the possible market shocks associated with the looming Fed rate hike. Stock prices might come under fire in the event of a monetary policy mistake.

    Higher demand for gold also stems from the expectations of a change in the Fed’s use of policy tools. Some policymakers argue the central bank could abandon its inflation target of 2 percent, and implement price-level targeting, which would allow actual inflation fly above 2 percent.

    This, however, would suggest a greater central bank meddling with the open market.

    Hints at such a dramatic policy pivot also boosts demand for non-monetary safe haven assets, such as gold, meaning the projections of higher bullion prices in the near-term are justified.


    Eternal Value: Turkish Investors Shift to Gold From US Dollars
    Russia May Halt Museum Ties With Netherlands If Scythian Gold Not Returned
    $8Bln Shock: 10-Minute Gold Selloff Sets Markets in Motion as Price Drops
    'Magic Wand': Russia Buying Gold at Record Pace, Unlikely to Lose Momentum
    dollar, gold, Federal Reserve System, United States
    Community standardsDiscussion
    Comment via FacebookComment via Sputnik