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French Presidential Election Signals Demise of Political Establishment

© Sputnik / Irina Kalashnikova / Go to the mediabankPresident Elect Emmanuel Macron is seen on a giant screen near the Louvre museum after results were announced in the second round vote of the 2017 French presidential elections
President Elect Emmanuel Macron is seen on a giant screen near the Louvre museum after results were announced in the second round vote of the 2017 French presidential elections - Sputnik International
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The French presidential election has proven that the country’s traditional political establishment faces an existential crisis of historic proportions, analysts told Sputnik.

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — On Sunday, Emmanuel Macron was elected president in a runoff election by gaining 66.1 percent of the vote to his rival Marine Le Pen’s 33.9 percent, according to France’s Interior Ministry figures.

© SputnikResults of the French Presidential Election
Results of the French Presidential Election - Sputnik International
Results of the French Presidential Election

"The first round of the presidential elections was the biggest wipe out of traditional French political parties in history," international affairs analyst and historian Jeff Steinberg said on Monday. "What was a big surprise was the number of French voters who either stayed home or voted blank ballot. The political establishment is in big trouble."

The election outcome, Steinberg claimed, was a humiliating outcome for the Gaullist and Socialist Parties that have dominated the politics of the Fifth Republic for nearly 60 years.

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Although it was a foregone conclusion that Le Pen would lose, she got 34 percent of the vote, Steinberg noted, doubling the party's support.

Le Pen’s father Jean-Marie Le Pen ran in the French presidential elections in 1974, 1988, 1995, 2002, and 2007 and scored his highest vote at 16.9 percent in 2002, dropping to 10 percent in 2000. So his daughter more than tripled his last national vote this year, Steinberg observed.

"The National Front is hardly dead as the result of the election," Steinberg pointed out.

More refined voter analyses will likely show that Le Pen drew votes from the left as well as from her more traditional rightwing voter base, Steinberg suggested.

"Macron was seen as the globalization candidate--a former Rothschild banker and government technocrat, appointed by the reviled [outgoing President Francois] Hollande," Steinberg added.

People walk past campaign posters of Emmanuel Macron (L), head of the political movement En Marche! (Onwards!), and Marine Le Pen (R), French National Front (FN) political party leader, two of the eleven candidates who run in the 2017 French presidential election, are seen in Paris, France, April 10, 2017 - Sputnik International
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National Assembly elections in June will determine whether Macron will be able to govern, Steinberg predicted.

"[The] National Front could significantly boost their size in the National Assembly. Macron has a slate of untested candidates, so it will be important to see if he can build a new political institution around his electoral victory," he remarked.

Independent Institute Center for Peace and Freedom Director Ivan Eland noted that Macron had a very limited liberal free market reform agenda and was unlikely to attempt any dramatic new policy initiatives.

"Le Pen wanted to restrict immigration into France, erect high tariff walls around France, and likely might have tried to lead France out of the EU. None of that will likely happen now," he pointed out.

In contrast, Macron has said he wants to reform the French economy by cutting corporate taxes and liberalizing the 35-hour work week, Eland noted.

However, Macron must do more than make modest reforms to bring enough prosperity to France to ameliorate the nationalist threat from Le Pen in the future, he predicted.

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