18 December 2012, 22:00

Controlled chaos theory - practical application

Controlled chaos theory -  practical application
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As early as on the 10th of December the US announced its agreement to support the establishment of a Kurdish army in Syria. This means first of all providing Syrian Kurds with military assistance for setting up armed units. Financial aid is probably also included. In this connection, the leader of the Kurdish National Council Sherkoh Abbas announced that the main aim of that army would be the defence of Syrian Kurdistan’s territory against any armed invasion on any part, either Bashar al-Assad’s troops, units of the Free Syrian Army or militants of Islamist groups.

Syrian Kurdistan borders on Turkish Kurdistan which is Turkish territory. Turkish authorities’ relations with Kurds are common knowledge, they are far from friendly. Ankara would never agree to strengthening Kurds’ positions. At the same time Turkey is the US’ ally in NATO and its best friend in that region. However, Washington’s decision is unlikely to be considered rash or erroneous. First of all, we are dealing with a real implementation of the Greater Middle East reconstruction plan which is carried out through ‘controlled chaos’. The basis of this strategy is the world-old but still very effective divide-and-rule principle.

Americans paid their close attention to the Middle East at the end of WW2. At that time George Kennan, director of the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff, substantiated the importance of the Middle Eastern region for US geopolitical interests. US strategists of that period called the Middle East an inexhaustible source of energy and one of the most attractive trophies in world history. These definitions still ring true today.

Experts believe that the Middle East reconstruction plan entered its decisive stage in June 2011. At the height of the war in Libya and in the context of growing tension in Syria, Yemen, Morocco and other countries, US President Barack Obama’s Administration formed a pool of potential partners of the US in that region. John Brennan, the US president’s Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Adviser, announced the consolidation of cooperation with the authorities of Yemen, Iraq, Somalia and North African countries. Washington’s most unexpected U-turn was made to face the Muslim Brotherhood. Recently that organisation was on the list of terrorist groups but now Hillary Clinton calls it one of the partners for cooperation. Other western countries usually stay in the wake of the US policy in the region, so now they are in a dubious position, editor-in-chief of the magazine Russia in Global Affairs Fyodor Lukianov said in his interview with The Voice of Russia.

“The West’s position is absolutely incomprehensible because the West will gain nothing from this. Each step forward in this direction makes the passage narrower, which means that in the end the West will find itself in alliance with those against whom the West had carried out an anti-terrorism crusade for 10 years.”

If we consider the implementation of the US Greater Middle East reconstruction plan it turns out that Syria is the next very important stage of this project. The Syrian crisis creates fertile soil for extremist Islamist movements, Italian-Moroccan journalist and expert in the Middle East Chaouki Khalid said in his interview with The Voice of Russia.

“We should not forget that Syria borders on Iraq and the Kurdish factor should not be disregarded either. In addition, there is a jihadist hotbed in Syria itself, it has struck root in several large cities of the country. In my opinion, the appearance of these well-organised armed groups can first of all be explained by the untimely and inadequate settlement of that conflict.”

Syria is the next but not the final item in the ‘reconstruction’ plan. Whoever becomes the next target in this large-scale ‘reconstruction’, the US has already managed to split the Arab world. But controlled chaos is insatiable. As militant Senator John McCain promised, the last epicenters of colour revolutions should be Moscow and Beijing.

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