The favorable scenario involves "intervention", that is, measures by the authorities to reduce the negative consequences of the pandemic. In this case, the mortality rate will be 100,000-240,000 people.
Should there be no intervention, mortality will be 1.5-2.2 million people.
In addition, experts predicted that the peak of mortality from COVID-19 in the United States would occur on April 15 - a total of 2,214 people may die on that day.
Then mortality will decline, reaching by June 1 a level of about 250 deaths per day and less than 100 deaths by July 1.
According to Johns Hopkins University, the United States has registered more than 188,000 cases of the novel coronavirus, with over 3,800 deaths.
The World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11 declared an outbreak of the new coronavirus infection a pandemic. According to the latest WHO data, more than 750,000 cases of COVID-19 have been registered worldwide, over 36,000 people have died.