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    Turns Out Trump’s Muslim Ban Is More Popular Than He Is

    © AFP 2019 / Laura Buckman
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    Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has not been harping on his Muslim ban of late, but recent national polls show that his notorious proposal has become more popular than he is.

    A December 2015 press release from the Trump campaign said, "Donald J. Trump is calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country's representatives can figure out what is going on." More recently, the real-estate speculator-turned-candidate has amended his proposed ban to "areas of the world where there is a proven history of terrorism against the United States." 

    But approval numbers for the ban have crept past that of the former reality television star. A Huffington Post poll found that Trump currently has a 35% approval rating, down two points in May. A Reuters/Ipsos five-day poll showed that, as of July 1, 46% of Americans favor the ban, up from May’s 40%.

    Shortly after the horrific June gun massacre in Orlando, Florida, an NBC News-SurveyMonkey poll reported that 50% of Americans either somewhat or strongly support the ban, while 46% opposed it. It is notable that such a ban would not have prevented the shooting, as the shooter was an American citizen, born in New York to immigrant parents.

    A mid-June poll, conducted by Morning Consult, showed 48% of Americans supporting a ban on Muslims, 40% opposing the ban and 11% not giving an opinion. The results suggest that the proposed ban has traction outside of Trump’s notoriously conservative support base.  

    Crosstabs on the Morning Consult’s poll showed that 32% of people who voted for Barack Obama in 2012 strongly or somewhat support a temporary ban on Muslims entering the country. A Fox News poll conducted last week showed similar overlap. Only 3% of African-Americans and 6% of Democrats favored Trump over Clinton, but 19% of Democrats and 25% of African Americans agreed with the statement that a temporary ban on Muslims would make the US "safer."

    Certain states show stronger support for the ban than others. The  University of Texas/Texas Politics Project conducted a survey at the end of June showing 52% of voters in support of the ban. There was strong support among GOP voters, 76% of whom supported the ban, a 13% uptick since the same poll was conducted in February. Most Texas Democrats opposed the ban, but 26% said they either somewhat or strongly supported it.

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