The billionaire’s stance on international foreign affairs make it clear that he would like the US to distance itself from the role of “global policeman,” Rachman said.
At the same time, the global security system rests on US-led alliances and is maintained with “red lines,” a row of political, diplomatic, economic and ideological boundaries Washington created to regulate international affairs, he explained.
In the view of the columnist, the trade protectionism proposed by Trump would lead to recession of the world’s economies and undermine global trade. Trump’s projective international policies regarding three crucial regions for America would have unexpected consequences.
“In reality, Mr Trump’s promised diplomatic revolution in Asia would have malign consequences that would swiftly be felt back home,” Rachman said, specifying that by inciting trade war with China and abandoning its long-time allies in the region, the US would have to eventually deal with a larger conflict. By that Rachman means a possible standoff over the South China Sea.
Trump would also reconsider American policies in Europe that were shaped in the post-World War II period, when Washington vowed to be a security guarantor to the Old World. To realize those policies into life, the concepts of the European Union and NATO were introduced in the mid-20th century. But Trump seems to be willing to blow those pillars apart, Rachman said, as he welcomes the possible Brexit and claims that Washington’s responsibilities before NATO are contrary to America’s interests.Rachman suggested that the billionaire could bring America back on the path of isolationism that it walked in 1930’s.
The billionaire aims to make America less predictable in attempt to create benefits for business, but he fails to assess that such an approach could turn out to be a catastrophe for international policies. The US’ denial to comply with its obligations on the international stage would create a vacuum that would be filled in by Russia and China.
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