A majority of Labour activists who responded to an online poll said that they believe that the Conservatives will win the next UK general election.
LabourList asked readers to pick what the outcome of the next election would be, with 55% saying that they believe it will be some form of Tory victory either in a coalition or an outright majority.
This is contrasted with 45% predicting a Labour win after excluding ‘don’t know’ answers.
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has also taken a popularity hit when compared to previous polls. When asked on their satisfaction with Starmers leadership, the top answer was “very unhappy” (34.3%) followed by “very happy” (33.8%).
Pretty damning Labour list survey results here.— Juliet Brown (@JulietB270880) August 17, 2020
- 55% of respondents predict a Tory government after the next election
- Top answer for satisfaction with Keir Starmer is “very unhappy”
Clearly no confidence in the new leader #Starmerouthttps://t.co/3LbGXzzYhU pic.twitter.com/WSt0OoZKqx
Last March, another Labourlist poll found that “very happy” won out at 36% while 25% said they were “very unhappy”.
On policy, LabourList readers supported the bold policies of the 2019 general election such as cancellation of local authority debt (81.5%) and introducing proportional representation (75%).
The most popular policy, of which 82% said they were in support of, was cutting the substantial majority of carbon emissions by 2030. Followed slightly by creating one million green jobs at 74%.
Increasing income tax was supported by 71% and nationalising utilities such as rail, mail, energy, and water by 67%.
The least 2019 policies that did not receive majority support were free and fast broadband for all at 49.6% and renewing Trident (12.3%).
ConservativeHome recently ran the same survey question which found that 74% of their members confidently believed that Tory majority would be the most likely outcome of the next general election - scheduled for 2024.
For Labour to win the next election, it would require a gain of 123 seats in order to secure a parliamentary majority of just one – a feat that no major party has achieved in history.