13:51 GMT +324 July 2017
Live
    (File) Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman waves as he meets with Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, April 11, 2017

    Game of Thrones: What's Behind Saudi King Salman's Change of Heart

    © REUTERS/ Bandar Algaloud/Courtesy of Saudi Royal Court
    Politics
    Get short URL
    23692511

    The appointment of Prince Mohammad bin Salman as the new heir to the throne has come as no surprise for Moscow, former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia Andrei Baklanov told Radio Sputnik, sharing his views on the much-discussed power game in Riyadh.

    On June 21, Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud appointed his 31-year-old son, Prince Mohammad bin Salman, as the new crown prince, relieving Prince Mohammad bin Nayef bin Abdulaziz from his position as crown prince, deputy premier and interior minister.

    Andrei Baklanov, deputy head of the Council of the Russian Diplomats Association and former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia (2000-2005), believes that the move was quite predictable.

    "This 'shift' has long been brewing," Baklanov told Radio Sputnik, referring to Mohammad bin Salman's appointment as the heir to the throne.

    The diplomat called attention to the fact that Prince Mohammad has long been involved in the day-to-day routine work of the Saudi government. Furthermore, he has been assigned important foreign policy tasks by the king in the recent months.

    "The [former] crown prince, Mohammad bin Nayef, has somehow fallen out of the scheme of the functioning of the highest political bodies of Saudi Arabia. It was quite noticeable," Baklanov said, adding that the replacement of the former crown prince with Mohammed bin Salman comes as the result of actual changes which have been brewing in recent months.

    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) and Saudi King Salman bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud (L)
    © AFP 2017/ TURKISH PRESIDENTIAL PRESS OFFICE/ KAYHAN OZER
    "Judging by the distribution of duties, speeches and explanations of domestic and foreign policy, it was felt that… all this time he had been delegating most of his powers to Mohammed bin Salman, his son," the diplomat pointed out.

    For his part, the new heir to the throne has never sat on his hands: in the last few years Prince Mohammed has launched a number of economic and foreign policy initiatives, starting from his bold Vision 2030 program and ending with Riyadh's controversial military operation in Yemen.

    Back in April 2016 Karen Elliott House, a senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, wrote that then Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad's efforts to reduce the country's dependence on oil and bolster Riyadh's role in Middle Eastern affairs faced opposition from other members of the Saudi royal family.

    House called attention to the fact that Mohammad bin Nayef was the first in line to the throne of Saudi Arabia and added that he "would waste little time" before removing Mohammad bin Salman from power if the Saudi king suddenly dies.

    The latest move of King Salman has proactively resolved the potential controversy.

    (File) Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman waves as he meets with Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, April 11, 2017
    © REUTERS/ Bandar Algaloud/Courtesy of Saudi Royal Court
    According to Baklanov, Prince Mohammad's appointment shows that the part of the Saudi establishment directly connected with the king and his son has managed to cement its ruling positions.

    Meanwhile, American observers assume that Donald Trump's support has become the determining factor that tipped the balance in Prince Mohammad bin Salman's favor.

    For instance, The New York Times highlighted in its article entitled "Trump's Preferred Candidate Wins Again, This Time in Saudi Arabia" that the US president has long seen Prince Mohammad as "a crucial ally in his effort to cement a Sunni Muslim alliance in the Persian Gulf."

    The media outlet noted that Trump's entourage "began cultivating Prince Mohammad" soon after the US 2016 presidential elections, adding that the new crown prince has a tough stance toward Iran and is "spearheading Saudi Arabia's embargo of neighboring Qatar."

    Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (R) attends a meeting between Emir of Kuwait Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah and Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, June 6, 2017.
    © REUTERS/ Bandar Algaloud
    Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (R) attends a meeting between Emir of Kuwait Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah and Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, June 6, 2017.

    Commenting on the potential implications of Prince Mohammad's appointment as the successor to the throne, Baklanov suggested that Riyadh will push ahead with both its economic reforms and assertive foreign strategy.

    The diplomat called attention to the fact that Prince Mohammad has also managed to establish working relations with many foreign powers, most notably with Russia, in the recent years.

    "The last year and a half have been the most successful in the history of [Russo-Saudi] relations, because we [Moscow and Riyadh] exercised leadership in reviewing the approaches to the price bracket for oil," Baklanov stressed.

    "Our deal became the basis for an agreement between OPEC countries and independent producers to reduce the level of [crude] production to rectify the situation on the market, suspend the drop in quotations for oil, correct the matter and set a fair price level," the diplomat specified.

    Elena Suponina, the adviser to the head of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (RISS), echoes Baklanov. The scholar believes that the Russian leadership foresaw the recent developments of events.

    "Regardless of his young age, the weight and influence of the [Saudi] king's son, Defense Minister Mohammad bin Salman, has always been understood in Russia. It is no coincidence that not only Russian leader [Vladimir Putin], but also the American [president], and many others have recently held meetings with him. It was clear… that the king was preparing his son for a new important appointment and possible future accession to the throne," Suponina told Sputnik.

    Related:

    Rosatom Signs Deal on Potential Construction of Wind Farms in Saudi Arabia
    The Saudi Shake-Up is Good News for Russia and China
    Saudi Arabia to Impose Family Tax, Indians Bracing For Tough Times
    Saudi Crown Prince Replacement Indicates New Priority for Military - Lawmaker
    Saudi Power Struggle Ends With King Promoting His Son to Be Heir
    Tags:
    Vision 2030, heir, economic policy, royal family, OPEC, Mohammed bin Nayef, Mohammad bin Salman Al Saud, Salman bin Abdelaziz al-Saud, Iran, Syria, United States, Russia, Middle East, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Yemen
    Community standardsDiscussion
    Comment via FacebookComment via Sputnik
    • Сomment