MOSCOW (Sputnik) — Last week, Russia and the United States reached an agreement on the ceasefire in Syria. The cessation of hostilities took effect at midnight on Saturday, Damascus time, generally holding across the country despite reported minor violations.
"The outcome of the battle is predetermined in favor of Assad as the governmental forces gained advantage on the battlefield and Russia and the United States signed a ceasefire agreement in Syria," Yakov Kedmi, a retired high-ranking Israeli intelligence official, said.
However, the question still remains if parties involved in the truce will continue to implement this fragile agreement.
"I have not been optimistic about the cessation of hostilities holding. The first couple of days have seen a decrease in violence, largely because the Syrian government along with its Russian and Iranian allies seems to be content with the territory they have already taken," Daniel Serwer, professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said.
The fact that Washington reached consensus with Moscow on Syria proves "the United States has little leverage to use against Assad and Russia in Syria" and that the Syrian conflict will be resolved in Assad’s favor, according to Kedmi.
Another issue that speaks for the civil war ending in the Syrian president’s favor is Turkey, known for its anti-Assad stance, losing its international support on their policy toward Syria, Kedmi argued.
"Turkey is and will remain isolated in regard to its position on Syria; no one is going to support Turks on the Kurds’ issue as well. Turkey has lost its last chance to be somehow included in the Syrian settlement process. Syrian Kurds, on the contrary, is a part of this process now," the Israeli former intelligence official explained.
"Assad seems still to have solid support from his allies, who stand to lose a great deal from an end to the dictatorship in Syria," Serwer, who is also an analyst at the Middle East Institute, concluded.
The Moscow-Washington negotiated truce has also been backed by the UN Security Council, which adopted a resolution on Syria on Friday, shortly before the ceasefire came into force.