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New Normal: Washington Has to Accept That Iran's Opinion Matters

© AFP 2023 / BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry (L), German Foreign Minister Frank Walter Steinmeier (2ndL), UN Special Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura (7thL), US Secretary of State John Kerry (5thR), Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (4thR), Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Li Baodong (2ndR) and Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif (R) wait before a meeting with 17 nations, the European Union and United Nations at the Hotel Imperial on October 30, 2015 in Vienna, Austria
Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry (L), German Foreign Minister Frank Walter Steinmeier (2ndL), UN Special Envoy for Syria Staffan de Mistura (7thL), US Secretary of State John Kerry (5thR), Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov (4thR), Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Li Baodong (2ndR) and Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif (R) wait before a meeting with 17 nations, the European Union and United Nations at the Hotel Imperial on October 30, 2015 in Vienna, Austria - Sputnik International
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The talks in Vienna marked the first time in recent history that Washington and Tehran were sitting at the same table as equal partners. US leadership seems to have acknowledged that Iran is a force to be reckoned with and its opinion on major issues matters, Stratfor asserted.

"Despite Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's repeated warnings that Iran cannot trust the United States in discussions beyond the nuclear issue, the reality is that the nuclear deal was merely the stepping stone to a much broader strategic dialogue," the US think tank noted.

The dialogue is already a reality.

The US and Iran are in contact over the anti-ISIL campaign in Iraq. The US leads the multinational aerial campaign aimed at destroying the radical Sunni group, while Tehran is supporting and assisting Shia militias, which are fighting militants on the ground. Both countries are also reported to be discussing counterterrorism efforts in Syria, as well as the future of Bashar al-Assad.

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The nascent dialogue will only reinforce what Stratfor described as "an unsettling reality" for the Sunni states in the region:

Saudi Arabia, one of America's key allies in the Middle East, and other Gulf states "can no longer use an exclusive relationship with Washington to shape US foreign policy in the Middle East," the think tank observed. From now on, Iran will apparently have a say too.

The resolution of the Syrian crisis is one of the major issues on the agenda. If one of the first steps to solve it involves holding elections, then key stakeholders will have to implement a ceasefire agreement in the war-torn country. This might prove to be a challenge since ISIL "remains a major force on the battlefield, ready to take advantage of any openings in the fight to surge into new areas," Stratfor warned.

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