"Ukraine is holding a missile-firing exercise in Russia's airspace close to Crimea. Kiev's unilateral decision and Notices to Airmen (NOTAM) go against the Convention on International Civil Aviation and create a threat to civil aircraft," he said. "Kiev is putting people at risk and provoking Russia. What for?"
The missile drills are scheduled to last until 17:00 GMT December 2, Russia's Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsia) reported, adding that the launches will extend into Russia's civil airspace.
The political analyst mentioned several options in Russia's arsenal.
"A simple solution would be to test Crimea's comprehensive coastal defense system on those targets that cross into Russian airspace. [This system] comprises fighter aircraft, air defense systems, the Bastion coastal defense systems, sea-based defense systems of the Black Sea Fleet, electronic warfare capabilities and so on," he said, adding that Moscow should not pay attention to surveillance satellites and "propaganda frenzy" from the West.
A new batch of the Bastion was deployed to Crimea on November 30. This battalion most likely includes ten vehicles and four launchers. An unnamed source told RIA Novosti that it will be placed in two regions on the Black Sea peninsula.
Russia is capable of ensuring flight safety and countering airspace violations, the analyst noted. There are no "technological limits" in this respect.
Although it is hard to say what Russia's exact response will be, one thing is clear, he added. "Ukraine's provocative missile-firing exercise will not go unanswered since Crimea and its territorial waters are part of Russia's sovereign territory even if someone disagrees with this," he noted.
On November 24, the Russian Defense Ministry summoned Ukraine's defense attaché to hand him the note of protest.