04:46 GMT +324 February 2017
Live
    Saudi Arabian city view with the 'Kingdom Tower', background, and 'Al-Faislia Tower' in Riyadh. (File)

    Saudi Royal Dynasty May Fall Like the Shah of Iran

    © AP Photo/ Hassan Ammar
    Middle East
    Get short URL
    3312802728

    Riyadh’s decision to decrease oil production may alienate Saudi Arabia from its traditional Western allies and pose a serious threat to the House of Saud.

    Mainstream media outlets in the US and UK unleashed a barrage of criticism upon Saudi Arabia, blasting the country for signing an oil deal with Russia. The Guardian even predicted that the falling oil prices and a sharp drop in demand for oil from that region will spell doom for the Saudi government.

    The newspaper likened the possibility of the Saudi ruling dynasty’s demise to the fall of the pro-American Shah government in Iran which caught Western intelligence agencies by surprise.

    However, Hassan Hanizadeh, former chief editor of the Mehr News Agency, told Sputnik Persian that the fate of Saudi Arabia could be much worse due to a number of factors.

    "It’s no secret that the US and the West consider the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia their ally and chief treasurer for various goals. Up until today the Saudi money helped only the US and its allies to advance their interests. However, now that the oil prices have dropped and the kingdom’s annual budget has decreased by $100 billion, their Arabian treasurer has become worthless to them. Everyone knows that the US does not have any constant allies in its foreign policy; that is, when the US realizes that a country becomes too weak to bankroll American projects, it simply drops them," he explained.

    Hanizadeh also remarked that the lack of democratic processes within the country also poses a significant threat to the Saudi government.

    "Saudi government structure is based on the clan society principles. The power belongs to the most influential members of several clans; this system is completely devoid of even a concept of constitution. The despotism that the ruling Saudi clan practices towards other citizens of the kingdom – for example, the five-million Shiite population – is also an important factor. Shiites live in the eastern regions of Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil cluster of the kingdom. And yet their rights have been being violated since the very founding of the kingdom. The so called successors – 6000 Saudi princes – simply pocket about 60 percent of all oil revenues," he said.

    All in all, Hanizadeh concluded, the lack of any forms of democracy makes the Saudi government extremely frail, and any economic or political defeats, along with spending billions of dollars on launching airstrikes against civilians in Yemen, may cause the government to collapse at any moment.

    "Many analysts believe that 2017 will mark the fall of Saudi Arabia’s ruling clan. And the fall of the al-Saud dynasty will be much worse than the end of the Shah government in Iran in 1979, as it is likely that it will be accompanied by a bloody civil war across the kingdom. One should not discount the probability of feuds and discord between numerous power-hungry would-be successors, each of whom is backed by his whole tribe. In this scenario, the enmity between tribes will inevitably lead to a civil war," Hanizadeh said.

    Related:

    Saudi Arabia Denounces Murder of Russian Ambassador Karlov in Turkey
    Another Special Relationship: UK Arms Sales to Saudi 'Violate' Int'l Obligations
    US Reviewing Report on Saudi Links to Muslim Terror Attacks in Myanmar
    Tags:
    dynasty, civil war, prospects, consequences, deal, oil production, Iran, Saudi Arabia
    Community standardsDiscussion
    Comment via FacebookComment via Sputnik
    • Сomment

    All comments

    • avatar
      Erik Trete
      "In this scenario, the enmity between tribes will inevitably lead to a civil war,"

      Fortunately the US and UK have armed the country to the teeth........just what the world needs.
    • avatar
      dc801
      Good riddance. They are the main promoter and financier of terrorism in the world today
    • Drain the swamp
      So far the sauds have been hiding under the skirt of the wahabi cult, and holding to ransom all Muslims in view of their control over their Haj pilgrimage rights. But al-ghamdys wife wants to drive a car and there is not enough money to keep him bribed. Also the wahabi fundamentalist grip (eg no Churches in the Hejaz,shiites are heretics,etc) and spin by the grand mufti no longer has traction among the educated.
    • Drain the swamp
      The ISIS caliphatists dare not include ksa or Mecca/Medina in their khilafa map, because that would make their saud/wahab sponsors very cross. The way to destroy daesh is via the grand wahabi muftis ass, Russia needs to blow it up.
    • avatar
      marcanhalt
      Like most welfare recipients that I know of, sooner or later the well is going to run dry. (Pun intended) The Saudis lived off the offered entities, including the only AWACs in the Gulf, for years. What they thought was an offered apple, was a poisoned pill, only larger and polished to a bright red. Only Russia can save this monster of a dynasty, even if it means telling them the hard truth: "Their isn't a throne big enough for your 55 families asses. Pair it down. We can help with the new reality show coming soon: Survival in Siberia. The winner takes it all."
    • avatar
      michael
      and how much of the reports are meant to encourage the rise of chaos?
    • sapper
      The Shah was deposed with the help of CIA!! Does this mean the uS is going to institute regime change in Saudi Arabia??? LOL
    • avatar
      freeWill
      Iran was in 'danger' of turning socialist, so it's revolution was guided towards something else.
      in saudis case, cia will just shuffle some fat princes around and that should do it for them
    • avatar
      Tim - USA
      The sooner the better and I will enjoy watching all the various articles when it does happen. Monarchies are right out of the stone ages and need to be abolished. France knew how to abolish its monarchy completely so it would not come back. Russia did the same with its czars. Nobody with any common sense will miss any of them and good riddance. All monarchies are parasites with bloated egos.
    • avatar
      Infidel Cartmanin reply tomarcanhalt(Show commentHide comment)
      marcanhalt, Russians can't save themselves. What makes you think they can save anyone else?
    • avatar
      Infidel Cartmanin reply tosapper(Show commentHide comment)
      sapper, I typically like a good conspiracy theory. too bad this isn't one of them.
    • avatar
      marcanhaltin reply toInfidel Cartman(Show commentHide comment)
      Infidel Cartman, You are right; it's hard to argue with ignorance
    • avatar
      Infidel Cartmanin reply tomarcanhalt(Show commentHide comment)
      marcanhalt, If it is hard to argue with ignorance, then why do you speak to yourself?
    • avatar
      marcanhaltin reply toInfidel Cartman(Show commentHide comment)
      Infidel Cartman, "Infidel (literally "unfaithful") is a pejorative term used in certain religions for those who do not believe the central tenets of one's own religion, are members of another religion, or are not religious...In modern era literature, the term infidel includes in its scope atheists, polytheists, animists, heathens and pagans. Infidel as a concept is sometimes contrasted with the concept of religious pluralism.

      As I said, earlier, we have nothing in common.
    • avatar
      goldcamshaftin reply toDrain the swamp(Show commentHide comment)
      Drain the swamp, Right on. The Saudis think that they are numero uno in terms of Islam by the fact that they have the Haj in Saudi Arabia. Syria should now start its own Haj and call it Bishmulla Haj for the first 3 years and then delete the Bishmulla so they will have Haj. This will clip the wings of Saudi Arabia.
    • avatar
      teddy j
      it will be nice for the world if this ''family" falls -- and falls in a spectacularly ruinous way to them.
    • Gregoire Trez
      They'll only fall if the west can take advantage of it. And if they don't, more misery for anybody living there. Hmm... choices, choices.
    Show new comments (0)