The report predicts that if Antalya loses about 50 percent of the Russian market, with partial compensation through other markets, the tourist and agricultural sectors of the province would lose about $1 billion. In a more pessimistic scenario, where the province would lose 90 percent of the Russian market, Antalya would lose $3 billion. In case of a full loss of the Russian market that figure would reach $8-9 billion, according to the report.
Relations between Turkey and Russia deteriorated in November 2015 when Ankara shot down a Russian Su-24 aircraft carrying out anti-terrorist operations in Syria. Despite Ankara's claims that the plane had violated Turkish airspace, both Russian and Syrian military officials confirmed that the plane never crossed into Turkish airspace.
Russia suspended its visa-free regime with Turkey and imposed an array of restrictive economic measures on Ankara in response to the downing of Russia’s Su-24 frontline bomber.
In late January, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Ankara was eager to normalize relations with Moscow.