17:04 GMT +327 September 2016
Live
A large convoy of Turkish military including tanks and ambulances rolls  from the southeastern part of Turkey toward the Iraqi border (File)

'We Expect A Military Escalation in Syria': Turkey’s True Motives

© AFP 2016/ MEHDI FEDOUACH
Middle East
Get short URL
86186071466

As Turkey shows increasing signs of invading Syria, Turkish journalist Erman Cete and Daniel McAdams of the Ron Paul Institute speak to Radio Sputnik’s Loud & Clear to discuss the meaning for relations between Russia and NATO.

"We expect a military escalation in Syria," Cete tells Loud & Clear host Brian Becker.

On Thursday, the Russian Defense Ministry also announced that it has seen mounting evidence of Ankara’s plans to launch an invasion. This comes as Syrian peace talks have broken down in Geneva – something that Turkey and the West blames on Russia.

"[The peace talks collapse are] blamed on Russia for Russia’s continued bombing of Syria. This is the line that they’re taking," McAdams says. "But I think the reality is that the US and Turkey and the other various allies are having an absolute panic attack over the very dramatic advances over the last couple of days.

"If Turkey were to have a major ground invasion of Syria…this will be such a dramatic escalation it could not be taken without the explicit OK of Washington and NATO."

This shows that the West may be willingly inching towards World War III with Russia.

"Erdogan is trapped, so he wants an escalation between NATO and Russia," Cete says. "His main salvation from Syria and the inner politics of Turkey is to rage a war against a foreign enemy."

War with Syria would likely lead to large scale unrest within Turkey, as well.

"So if the Turkish government starts a war in Syria, the domestic situation in Turkey also escalates," Cete says. "A large part of the Turkish community is against any kind of war against Syria."

At the same time, Saudi Arabia has also expressed its willingness to send ground forces into Syria, should coalition allies decide that such an operation is necessary. Though for Daniel McAdams, this possibility is more laughable than frightening.

“The Saudi Arabian ground forces in Yemen have met their match, and then some. As a matter of fact, they have been so inadequate on the battlefield they had to import 10,000 Sudanese mercenaries to do their fighting for them.

"The idea that Saudi Arabia is going to send some of its perfumed princes over to invade Syria, I think at least we get a little bit of a laugh out of this."

With the collapse of Syrian peace talks, the conflict may only end once the West and its allies cease to interfere in the country’s affairs.

"I think to reach a political solution in Syria, Turkey and Saudi Arabia must be eliminated, because these two countries, right now, are preventing a peaceful solution in Syria," Cete says.

"I think the failure of the peace talks has exposed the fact that there are no moderate rebel forces in Syria," McAdams adds. "This was a fiction that the US, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and the others have been putting forth for so long, and in desperation you saw the US and the Saudis trying to put forth al-Qaeda’s allies in the peace talks."

Related:
Turkey's Invasion of Syria? Moscow Keeping an Eye on Ankara's Moves
Syrian Peace Talks Shouldn't Be About Enabling Terrorists to Regroup
Still in the Freezer: 'Turkey Misses Chance to Normalize Ties With Russia'
Tags:
Syrian peace talks, Syrian conflict, NATO, Erman Cete, Daniel McAdams, Russia, United States, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey
Community standardsDiscussion
Comment via FacebookComment via Sputnik
  • Сomment
  • michaelin reply torasoj(Show commentHide comment)
    rasoj, I agree, all countries have their figureheads, some their dictators and so on. Remove them and then you would see another to fill that one's shoes. :(
  • michaelin reply tosiberianhusky(Show commentHide comment)
    siberianhusky, well, at least they have their priorities! :)
  • michaelin reply tovendor(Show commentHide comment)
    vendor, draw the line and stare them down? Isn't that what Putin has been doing? Or are you suggesting that subtlety doesn't work with the west? :)
  • michaelin reply tovendor(Show commentHide comment)
    vendor, I'll agree with your call there. I think that it is part of the western journalistic agenda. The chicken little effect if you will. It will be strength through seriousness as well as arms that will keep the situation in check. At least, that's my interpretation. :)
  • michaelin reply toFlorianGeyer(Show commentHide comment)
    Florian, agreed, but I wonder if the turkish military will act the same way as the wehrmacht - too little too late? Your comment though does have me curious - how much support does erdogan have?
  • michaelin reply tovendor(Show commentHide comment)
    vendor, maybe we could see america as Janus?
  • michaelin reply toivanwa88(Show commentHide comment)
    ivanwa88, agreed, just thinking though, that there would be some other issues (partially) resolved if this scenario was play out... I'm thinking of the refugees in the eu. Reduction of stressors in the lives of the eu populace. I'm sure others could list a few more... :)
  • ivanwa88
    Michael common sense dictates that if the conflict is resolved on a purposeful and equitable basis with a bend towards International law. The refugees would flood back to there beloved country. One must always remember it is the horse before the cart not the other way round!
  • ivanwa88
    Michael I must ask what did you understand of the points I was making? and did these points enlighten you somewhat? and where did you stand in terms of the pipeline?
  • michaelin reply toivanwa88(Show commentHide comment)
    ivanwa88, agreed with the common sense. :) The 'but' for me is when looking at reports and reading comments about the refugee issue, I do wonder how many would return once Syria is at peace? I do believe that I was placing the horse before the cart as I was identifying what I considered to be minor issues which would be addressed after the military situation resolved itself. :)
  • hampartokatlian
    The Americans never wanted peace anyway. They want war, they want Qatari gas and Saudi gas through a friendly regime in Syrian, through Turkey and into Europe.
  • wendigo
    Turkey must think it needs to hurry up before Iran gets its military wish list filled by Russia and China. Right now they enjoy a comfy margin of superiority in jets and armour. They might plan on Russian forces in Syria staying in the west, not thinking about the Russians opening another front because of the NATO attack clause. They must not realize that Russia does have the capability to get massive armour and air forces into Syria by way of Iran and Iraq.
  • Wisdom Faith
    The little russian baby smell alot of shit better change he's diaper next time he's on thoose minister of defense video we see the brown trail.
  • michaelin reply toivanwa88(Show commentHide comment)
    ivanwa88,
    1. as I read your comments, what we are witnessing now is an opportunity to bring some stability to the region - not just the country. You mention cultural and historical issues and to me this suggests a model for stability in the middle east. Especially as adjacent there are the historical flash points of israel and lebanon. Strategically, Syria is important as a medn port for Russian naval ships, as well as an ally to provide a potential second front against turkey for either Russian or Iranian interests. I don't know enough about the religious ramifications or connections to comment.
    2. any points made by people here can lead to enlightenment, it depends on what place our thinking is at. For me, the comments that you have made need to be reflected upon, not simply responded to. That is respect for another's opinion. :)
    3. the pipeline... well, Syria certainly to have the right to decide what they want and not what somebody else in or outside of the region wants. It is, after all, their territory. The ramifications for Russia; reminds me of a group I belonged to a while ago, where we looked at issues potentially leading to war - this fits as part of an ongoing campaign of the energy wars. In that light Russia does certainly need to be part of the resolution.

    As an aside to this situation I also look towards ukraine and kazakstan, just as a precaution, every now and then. For, I believe that these problems on Russia's western and south western border are one thing, other borders may be challenged soon - but I digress from your questions. As always, interesting. Thanks. :)
  • ivanwa88
    michael cheers interesting reply, are you a trainee agent? I noted that you had a military Intel bias to world geopolitics when looking at the Syrian conflict. One could not say that's deflecting the issue, but it certainly dilutes the focus on finding a peaceful solution the provides harmony and peace for the foreseeable future.
    The other side of the coin is to seriously inflame tensions and potentially provoke WW111.
    By focussing on what Russia might gain and counteracting that effect- goes without saying that's exactly what the West has focused on to defeat Russia! which in reality is not the enemy! one would think Daesh is right!!?
  • ivanwa88
    michael in reply to the cart and the horse, I say talk is cheap, its when one initiates and supports solutions that ones integrity is formed., and of course tested. As a general comment not aimed at you! I find a lot of comments destructive and I guess represents repressed anger? It is always mind balancing to read positive observations and points of view based on integrity above all else. Thank you for you reply.
  • Mother Gorillain reply tobackfromthegraav(Show commentHide comment)
    backfromthegraav, yeah, but they are becoming secular as well.

    Gang rapes are a problem, but not by refugees, but by migrants already here and by the police who won't admit that rapes and child abuse exist.

    Civility has deteriorated in Europe, you are right, the refugees are needed to pull the social standards down any further, unless our rulers really think that they are better workers than the Germans and workers already there, which would mean they are hypocrites.

    Definitely, a Great Russian Wall is in order, and we straight-thinking people will climb over it at least in our dreams!
  • Hermesin reply toivanwa88(Show commentHide comment)
    ivanwa88,
    I fully support Russia's actions in Syria but you have to consider the Single Integrated Operational Plan when you judge the facts of the moment and in my opinion the SIOP is and has always been aimed at causing a regional nuclear conflict between Russia and a random nuclear power in the area. Washington first had to create that nuclear power so under the guise of nuclear espionage they delivered the technology and the blueprints for the weapons to the Sunni state Pakistan in the seventees of the last century.
    Of course Russia is not going to fall for it and it will hit USA in the first wave wherever the threat comes from but the americans do not believe that. They think they have got the perfect plan.
    This is the way I connect the dots.
  • Is it because I am black?in reply toMother Gorilla(Show commentHide comment)
    Mother Gorilla, the US did fire bombs at Daesh,

    edition.cnn.com/2015/12/04/politics/air-force-20000-bombs-missiles-isis

    but you are right that IS has never been the prime target:

    The Council on Foreign Relations puts it this way in its memo no. 9 of Oct. 2011 (!) by Bush aide Eliot Abrams: The goals of U.S. policy should be to end the violence, bring down the Assad regime, and lay the bases for a stable democratic system with protection for the Alawite, Kurdish, and Christian minorities.

    Al Queda/ISIS/Daesh/Al Nusra is not even mentioned and clearly secondary to Assad as an enemy.
  • ivanwa88
    Hermes your comment strongly reflects your name.
Show new comments (0)
Top stories