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    Britain's former Brexit secretary Dominic Raab gives a speech at the Centre for Policy Studies in central London on January 14, 2019. - EU leaders wrote to Theresa May on Monday with clarifications on the Brexit deal as the British prime minister seeks to win over sceptical MPs on the eve of a momentous vote on the text. (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS / AFP)

    As Theresa May Steps Down, Will Dominic Raab End Up as the ‘Anyone But Boris’ Candidate?

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    Theresa May is stepping down as leader of the Conservative Party, kicking off the leadership contest. There are currently 11 contenders but only two will make it through to the final ballot.

    UK Prime Minister Theresa May has formally resigned as leader of the Tories and will become a caretaker prime minister until a new leader is declared on 22 July.

    On Friday, 7 June, Mrs May submitred a letter to Charles Walker and Dame Cheryl Gillan, the joint acting chairmen of the 1922 Committee of backbench Conservative MPs. 

    ​They then made a formal call for candidates, with the deadline closing at 5pm on Monday, 10 June.

    ​Eleven candidates have so far thrown their hats into the ring but some, like Esther McVey, Rory Stewart and Sam Gyimah, are struggling to get the backing of eight MPs which is necessary to make it onto the first ballot on 13 June.

    ​Tory MPs will then vote in a series of secret ballots held on 13, 18, 19 and 20 June.

    The two candidates who make it through to the end with the most votes will end up on a ballot paper which will be sent out to 100,000 members of the Conservative Party around the country.

    ​They will choose which of the two will be the party’s new leader and therefore the next prime minister, who will take office at the end of July, three years after Theresa May took over from David Cameron.

    The new prime minister, who will take office only thanks to the support of the 10 MPs from Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), must then decide what to do about Brexit.

    So who is most likely to make it onto the ballot paper?

    ​Boris Johnson, 54, has been the hot favourite for the job ever since November 2018 when he played a key part in blocking the approval by Parliament of Mrs May’s negotiated Brexit deal, with its infamous Northern Ireland backstop.

    He remains in a strong position to make it through to the final two, especially after an embarrassing private prosecution over alleged lies told during the 2016 Brexit campaign was thrown out by the High Court on Friday.

    ​But Johnson has made a lot of enemies in the House of Commons since he was elected in 2010 so there will be a strong desire within certain elements of the party to have a good “anyone but Boris” candidate.

    If McVey, Stewart and Gyimah fail to get eight MPs each to support them they will not make it onto the MPs’ ballot on 13 June.

    The battle to take on Johnson seems to be a straight fight between former Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab, Environment Secretary Michael Gove and Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt, with Health Secretary Matt Hancock lagging behind.

    Raab's suggestion at a hustings on Wednesday, 5 June, that he would be prepared to shut down Parliament to ensure the UK leaves the EU on 31 October was criticised by some of his rivals, but it is an idea which may prove popular among Tory Party grassroots members, who are largely pro-Brexit.

    Gove is known as a great intellect and has a strong Brexit pedigree - he was in the vanguard of the Leave campaign long before Johnson - but is not perceived to be a great vote winner and is unlikely to make it through to the final two.

    ​Hunt and Hancock are both seen as Theresa May loyalists and as men who are inherently in favour of only a soft Brexit, which may damage their chances.

    So it seems likely that Raab, 45, will be carrying the torch for the “anyone but Boris” wing of the Tory party when it comes to balloting members.

    Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn said: "I don't know who the new leader is going to be, but it seems to be a choice between no deal, no deal and no deal, as far as I can understand it."

    Tags:
    Dominic Raab, Boris Johnson, Theresa May, Conservative Party
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