23:41 GMT25 July 2021
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    Nations Restart Economies as Search for COVID-19 Vaccine Continues (143)
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    Gold prices lost nearly 1 per cent on 16 July, dipping below the key $1,800 level against a backdrop of a strengthened dollar and the “wait-and-see” stance adopted by the European Central Bank which is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.

    Gold stabilized at around the key $1,800 level on Friday after tottering in the previous session, reported Reuters.

    Spot gold was up by 0.1 percent at $1,799.18 per ounce by 0710 GMT, with US gold futures showing similar signs of stabilizing at $1,799.90.

    ​The stabilization came after gold slid below $1,800 on Thursday as the dollar strengthened and the European Central Bank took a pause after a spate of monetary measures to prop up the euro zone during the pandemic-induced recession.

    Spot gold fell by 0.8 per ent to $1,796 per ounce, while US gold futures settled down 0.7 percent at $1,800.30.

    “The key narrative is that central banks are on hold for some time and more stimulus is coming but it’s going to be much later. That’s taking a little bit of the bullish trend that gold has firmly been in recently,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst at broker OANDA, was cited as saying on Thursday by Reuters.

    Safe-Haven Lure

    Gold’s safe-haven appeal has been boosted by a fresh spike of COVID-19 cases and flaring US-China tensions, claim market analysts.

    “Gold is being held up due to rising geopolitical uncertainty, and a resurgence of coronavirus cases in the United States as well as across the world,” National Australia Bank economist John Sharma was quoted by the outlet as saying.
    A gold bar
    © CC0
    A gold bar

    The US hit yet another all-time record on Thursday, surpassing 75,000 daily coronavirus cases, according to a New York Times database, with Johns Hopkins University' suggesting the number of new cases for the 24-hour period was 68,428.

    A stronger US dollar has also been keeping gold prices in check.

    “The bull’s case for gold remains intact with real rates low and suppressed and which would be able to sustain the high price of gold. But with prices at yearly highs, buying the dips probably works out best for most traders as a trading strategy,” Phillip Futures was cited as confirming in a note.

    ‘Very Deep Hole’

    The lure of non-yielding bullion is also suggested as being furthered by lower US interest rates amid an economy struggling to bounce back.

    It might take years to recover from the damaging COVID-19 pandemic fallout that has driven the US economy into a “very deep hole,” said New York Fed President John Williams on 16 July in an interview for Yahoo Finance, adding that now was not the time to think about raising interest rates.

    “This is not the time to think about liftoff or normalization,” said Williams.

    He also underscored that the health crisis had created such an “enormous amount of uncertainty”, that even if the US economy were to start to recover in the second half of 2020, there was “a long way to go to get back to full strength.”

    A woman looks to get information about job application in front of IDES (Illinois Department of Employment Security) WorkNet center in Arlington Heights, Ill., Thursday, 9 April 2020. Another 6.6 million people filed for unemployment benefits last week, according to the US Department of Labour, as American workers continue to suffer from devastating job losses, furloughs and reduced hours during the coronavirus pandemic.
    © AP Photo / Nam Y. Huh
    A woman looks to get information about job application in front of IDES (Illinois Department of Employment Security) WorkNet center in Arlington Heights, Ill., Thursday, 9 April 2020. Another 6.6 million people filed for unemployment benefits last week, according to the US Department of Labour, as American workers continue to suffer from devastating job losses, furloughs and reduced hours during the coronavirus pandemic.

    As most of the 50 states in the US imposed lockdown protocols to stem the spread of the pandemic, the economy shrank 5 percent in the first three months of 2020, in the sharpest decline since the Great Recession of 2008/09.

    Despite most businesses reopening over the past two months, a “double-digit recession” by the second quarter is imminent, warn economists.

    “Gold is trading as a risk asset, in a regime defined by a surge in liquidity and money supply… We expect that these common drivers will continue to drive capital to shelter itself from negative real yields in risk and real assets,” TD Securities was quoted by Yahoo Finance as saying in a note.

     

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    Nations Restart Economies as Search for COVID-19 Vaccine Continues (143)

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