12:34 GMT27 January 2020
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    WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - President Donald Trump’s summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Singapore could prove a total failure or succeed in changing the basic "equities" of Pyongyang’s relations with the United States and the wider world, analysts told Sputnik.

    Trump and Kim on Tuesday signed a joint statement pledging to work toward the "denuclearization" of the Korean Peninsula and the United States promised to provide Pyongyang with security guarantees.

    Trump’s US critics including Democratic leaders in Congress Senator Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi criticized Trump for ending the regular joint US military exercises with South Korea and allegedly getting nothing in return.


    However, retired United Kingdom diplomat Jonathan Clarke, a former official of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) said Trump had introduced a new momentum into US-North Korea relations, ending a 65 year deadlock since the Korean War armistice agreement in 1953.

    "The summit has introduced an entirely new dynamic into the 70-plus year negotiations on the peninsula," Clarke said. "This may prove a total bust, as many are predicting, or could give us all a chance to look at the equities in a different way."

    Clarke pointed out that the government of South Korea under President Moon Jae-in had supported the holding of the summit and had welcomed its outcome.

    "The South Koreans seem reasonably happy, which is significant," which is significant.

    However, the Japanese government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, which has increased security ties with the US since Trump took office, appeared alarmed about the uncertainties that the Trump-Kim talks might introduce into US security policies towards Northeast Asia, Clarke acknowledged.

    "Tokyo is petrified, but that is entirely predictable," he said.

    Clarke emphasized that it was far too soon to see what the consequences from and reactions to the Singapore summit would be.

    "As for what will actually happen, as the FCO wisdom goes, ‘time will tell,’" he concluded.


    Eurasia Center Vice President Ralph Winnie agreed the Singapore meeting was historic in nature, but he too emphasized the importance of vigilance and caution in carefully monitoring its consequences.

    "I think the summit was historic. We have got commitments from both sides… [However] It is too early to talk about future and we have to be very cautious," he said.

    US policymakers, intelligence officials and military commanders could not afford to be complacent about assessing possible North Korean moves following the summit, Winnie cautioned.

    "I think we have to see what the North Korean will do. I think we should monitor the situation. No questions that the US side should be very vigilant," Winnie said.

    Winnie also expressed optimism that Trump had not scrapped the regular South Korea-US military exercises without getting significant concessions in return from Kim Jong-un.

    "I think Kim will give us some plan in exchange for the US not engaging wartime exercises," he said.

    The Singapore summit should be seen as the beginning of what could prove to be long and possibly complex course of negotiations and in potential increased engaged on both sides, Winnie assessed.

    "The process has started, but certainly it is a long way to go," he concluded.

    Trump and Kim in their agreement pledged to re-start US-North Korean relations for the sake of mutual prosperity, pursue the demilitarization and denuclearization of the entire Korean peninsula and work together to achieve peace on the Korean Peninsula.

    They also agreed to cooperate on recovering the remains of prisoners of war and soldiers missing in action during the 1950-53 Korean War.

    The views and opinions expressed in the article do not necessarily reflect those of Sputnik.


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