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CIS Countries to Suffer Most From Russia's Economic Decline: Experts

© Fotolia / sergey_pRussia's economic decline and currency depreciation are hurting some of the neighboring countries, but not the United States, experts told Sputnik News Agency.
Russia's economic decline and currency depreciation are hurting some of the neighboring countries, but not the United States, experts told Sputnik News Agency. - Sputnik International
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Russia's currency depreciation is a "natural outcome" of the country's oil dependency. Its economic decline is hurting adjacent CIS countries, whereas the United States feels safe due to the small trade with Russia.

Russian Prime Minister Medvedev discussed the ruble rate and other economic issues during a meeting with a group of financial officials, Central Bank leadership and the management of Russia’s major steel and energy companies. - Sputnik International
Medvedev: Ruble Undervalued, Harsh Financial Regulations Unnecessary
WASHINGTON, December 18 (Sputnik) — The effect of Russia’s economic challenges will most certainly be felt by neighboring CIS countries but the currency crises is unlikely to impact the economies of the West, experts told Sputnik on Thursday.

"Kazakhstan has been affected, [the post-Soviet country of] Georgia has been affected because remittances have been reduced, Armenia has been affected," co-founder of Firebird LLC Ian Hague, told Sputnik Wednesday.

There are a couple of European banks that have relatively large components of their business in Russia, Hague, whose company manages four private funds that invest in Eastern Europe, said.

“This certainly hurts them but they were in trouble anyway,” he added said, adding that a certain impact of Russia's recent economic problems can be seen at the level of companies, such as Apple, which has suspended its online store in Russia due to the ruble's fluctuation.

Keith Savard, senior managing economist at the Milken Institute, California-based economic think tank, agreed that the decline of Russia’s economy would not have a significant impact on the United States.

Businesses in the Czech Republic are very concerned about the position of the Russian ruble and its recent drastic fluctuations, Director of the Chamber for Commercial Relations with the CIS Frantisek Masopust told Sputnik Radio on Wednesday. - Sputnik International
Czech Business Concerned About Russian Ruble Fluctutation: Trade Official
"For US companies I don’t think it matters all that much, trade with Russia is quite small,” Savard told Sputnik. "Some business may decline because it may be too expensive for Russian companies to use the services for US companies.”

The analyst argued that Russia’s currency depreciation was the "natural outcome" of the country's oil dependency.

“They're [Russia] trying to manage it [currency depreciation] through interest rates and sometimes intervention in the foreign exchange market,” Savard said.

He pointed out that the fist of interest rates slows the economy, which is already having the effect of deteriorating terms of trade on oil prices.

Ian Hague noted that that the Central Bank's decision was correct but overdue.

Forex Finland has limited its operations with the ruble due to it’s sudden depreciation - Sputnik International
Foreign Exchange in Finland Stops Recognizing Rubles for Trade
“It was the correct solution under the circumstances but the timing of it was very unfortunate because they should have anticipated the loss of confidence in the ruble earlier than they did and then they should have acted more forcefully," he stressed.

The ruble has lost half its value against the dollar since July, prompting the Central Bank to hike interest rates to 17 percent, after increasing it from 9.5 to 10.5 percent the week before. The interest rate hike is the largest single increase that Moscow has experienced since its 1998 economic crisis.

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