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Poll Shows Narrow Trump Lead in Battleground State of North Carolina

© REUTERS / Jonathan ErnstU.S. President Donald Trump concludes a campaign rally at Smith Reynolds Regional Airport in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, U.S., September 8, 2020
U.S. President Donald Trump concludes a campaign rally at Smith Reynolds Regional Airport in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, U.S., September 8, 2020 - Sputnik International
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Swing-state North Carolina backed the winner in four of the last five general elections, including Trump in 2016, Democrat Barack Obama in 2008 and George W Bush in 2000 and 2004. With 15 electoral college votes it is an important prize for candidates.

US President Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democrat rival Joe Biden in the swing state of North Carolina, according to a new poll.

The Trafalgar Group poll gave Trump 47.8 per cent support, compared to 46.1 per cent for Biden - a difference of 1.7 per cent, smaller than the pollsters' 2.95 per cent margin of error. 

​Libertarian Party candidate Jo Jorgensen was on 1.6 per cent support, with the Green Party's Howie Hawkins and Constitution Party's Don Blankenship both with half a per cent. The poll surveyed 1,046 respondents between September 9 and 11.

This combination of file photos created on March 4, 2020 shows US President Donald Trump(L) speaking to the media prior to departing from the White House in Washington, DC, on March 3, 2020, and Democratic presidential hopeful and former Vice President Joe Biden  at a Nevada Caucus watch party on February 22, 2020, in Las Vegas, Nevada, during the Nevada caucuses. - President Donald Trump on March 4, 2020 hailed Democrat Joe Biden's incredible comeback in the primaries race and signaled how he will attack the new frontrunner, saying he was surrounded by far leftists. It was a great comeback for Joe Biden, an incredible comeback when you think about it, Trump told reporters at the White House the morning after the Democrats' Super Tuesday polls. Biden is running as a moderate, in contrast to his leftist rival Bernie Sanders, but Trump insisted that some of the former vice president's handlers are further left than Bernie. That's pretty scary. - Sputnik International
New Poll Shows Donald Trump, Joe Biden Deadlocked in Battleground State as 2020 Race Tightens
With 15 electoral college votes in the election, North Carolina is an important swing state. It backed the winner in four of the last five general elections, voting for Trump in 2016, Democrat Barack Obama in 2008 and George W Bush in 2000 and 2004. Republican Mitt Romney won the state in 2012, but lost overall to Obama.

Under the 'electoral college' system of US presidential elections, each state is allocated a number of electors based on its population. In all but two states, the candidate who gets the most ballots wins the votes of all the electors, similar to the 'first past the post' system of UK Parliamentary elections.

Only the states of Maine and Nebraska split their electors between the candidates, on the basis of who wins the popular vote in each congressional district - two for Democrat stronghold Maine and three for Republican hinterland Nebraska.

Four elections in US history have seen the candidate who wins more votes overall lose out in the electoral college, including Bush's election in 2000 and Trump's 2016 win.

Just 15 of the 50 US states are considered swing or battleground territories in presidential elections. 

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