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'Public Opinion in Turkey-Saudi Consulate Responsible for Journo's Fate’ – Prof

© AP Photo / Emrah GurelTurkish police barriers block the road leading to the Saudi Arabia consulate in Istanbul, Sunday, Oct. 7, 2018
Turkish police barriers block the road leading to the Saudi Arabia consulate in Istanbul, Sunday, Oct. 7, 2018 - Sputnik International
The Saudi consulate in Istanbul will be searched after the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. This is according to the Turkish Foreign Ministry. In a statement on Tuesday, the Ministry said that Riyadh has given official permission to search its Consulate in order to investigate the disappearance of Khashoggi.

Sputnik has discussed the investigation into Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance with Nader Habibi, professor of the economics of the Middle East at the Crown Center for Middle East Studies, Brandeis University.

Sputnik: What do you think will be the effect on Turkish-Saudi relations following what has happened and that is, of course, that we're having a search now of the Saudi Embassy which is unheard of to have a sovereign embassy searched for criminal evidence of some kind of criminal action…

A still image taken from CCTV video and obtained by TRT World claims to show Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi as he arrives at Saudi Arabia's consulate in Istanbul, Turkey Oct. 2, 2018. - Sputnik International
Media Release Footage of Saudis Reportedly Linked to Khashoggi Abduction (VIDEO)
Nader Habibi: The Saudi government is not under any international diplomatic obligation to bring the Turkish investigators inside the consulate, nevertheless, the Saudis have offered, volunteered to allow an inspection to take place. The impact on Saudi-Turkish relations will depend on what is revealed ultimately.

If there is any solid evidence that the journalist was killed or abducted by Saudis inside the consulate then that is going to be very damaging because President Erdogan of Turkey would be under considerable pressure domestically to take action in response because this is a clear violation of diplomatic norms by Saudi Arabia and also the sovereignty of Turkey for something like this to take place, a diplomatic, political assassination.

So it all depends on the outcome of the investigation. And if there is no clear evidence then it could be a matter of discretion by Turkey and I think then the Turkish government will take into account all of the economic and diplomatic relations between the two countries in responding to what has happened. But as of now, it seems that the public opinion inside Turkey is strongly moving towards the fact that the Saudi Consulate is responsible for the fate of this journalist.

READ MORE: US Intel Reportedly Knew of Saudi Plan to 'Lure & Capture' Now-Missing Khashoggi

As I mentioned earlier, diplomatic relations between Turkey and Saudi Arabia had already been damaged by a number of events in 2017 with respect to Turkish support for Qatar and even before then, in 2011 after the Arab Spring uprising there was a dispute between Turkey and Saudi Arabia because Turkey sided with the uprising and the supporters of the uprising in Egypt and other Arab countries. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, was trying to stabilize these countries and it actually contributed to the fall of Mohamed Morsi in Egypt, whereas Turkey was a supporter of President Morsi's government for the short period that he was in power.

Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi speaks on his cellphone at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Khashoggi was a Saudi insider. He rubbed shoulders with the Saudi royal family and supported its efforts to nudge the entrenched ultraconservative clerics to accept reforms. He was a close aide to the kingdom’s former spy chief and was a leading voice in the country’s prominent dailies - Sputnik International
‘Royal Family Makes Sure’ Saudi Dissident Voices Aren’t Heard - Activist
So all of these factors have affected the relations between the two countries already. Nevertheless, the Saudis are major investors in the Turkish economy. They have been purchasing real estate and they have many businesses that are active in Turkey and because of those investments, I think the Turkish government would try to at least maintain good relations as long as possible.

The other possibility is that diplomatic relations might be deteriorated but a certain amount of business relations between the two countries, especially with respect to private businesses is likely to continue. And I'd also like to add that the Saudis consider Turkey as a major tourist destination and in recent months an average of 700,000 Saudi tourists have visited Turkey.

READ MORE: We Must Be Careful Whether to Say Saudi Journalist 'Is Alive or Not' — Scholar

Sputnik: It's also interesting to note that it was after, I believe, Mike Pompeo issued a statement saying that senior US diplomats had spoken to the Saudi counterparts and they had called on the government of Saudi Arabia to support a thorough investigation of the disappearance, I believe that's when it was agreed that there would be this search of the embassy; but once again, if what was suspected that there was a van with blacked out windows that left about two hours after he entered the embassy then it's likely that there is no trace of him inside, but I'm just wondering have there been previous precedents of this kind of criminal activity on the part of the Saudis? And how damaging was Khashoggi to the Saudi regime?

Nader Habibi: On your first question, I really don't have much information, I'm an economist and focus on economic relations but as far as the criticism of Khashoggi, this journalist, he was very outspoken in criticizing the government's economic policies, in criticizing human rights record of the young leader of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman, particularly when the Saudi government arrested a large number of businessmen, wealthy Saudi businessmen, for a few weeks and forced them to pay a considerable amount of money to the government which he was very critical of this policy and spoke about the adverse consequences of the way these businessmen were treated.

Views and opinions  expressed in the article are those of Nader Habibi and do not necessarily reflect those of Sputnik

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