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Fight Or Flight: EU Plan to Stop Chinese Dumping Threatens to Spark Trade War

© REUTERS / Virginia Mayo/PoolEuropean Council President Donald Tusk and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang (R) arrive to attend a EU-China Summit in Brussels, Belgium June 2, 2017
European Council President Donald Tusk and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang (R) arrive to attend a EU-China Summit in Brussels, Belgium June 2, 2017 - Sputnik International
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The EU is considering extending measures to fight the dumping of cheap Chinese goods on the European market, but passing the measures would mean the start of a trade war that the EU is unlikely to win, experts told Sputnik.

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Earlier this week, ahead of the summit of EU leaders in Brussels, the European Parliament voted in favor of plans to toughen regulations targeting cheap Chinese imports.

On Tuesday, the European Parliament's international trade committee overwhelmingly approved a proposal to amend anti-dumping regulations and better protectEuropeagainst cheap imports from non-EU countries such as China. 

The amendment would give the EU greater scope to investigate whether goods are being dumped on the European market at artificially low prices, subsidized by a national government and therefore not adhering to free market rules.

EU heads of state are set to discuss the proposal on Friday, during talks on economics and trade issues. 

The new proposal comes after an EU-China summit earlier this month, at which they failed to bridge their differences over trade. Despite China's membership in the WTO, Brussels continues to refuse to recognize the Chinese economy as a market-run rather than state-run economy, a recognition which would allow China to export to the EU at lower WTO tariffs.

The EU has repeatedly imposed anti-dumping penalties on Chinese imports such as steel, most recently in April

© AFP 2023 / STRChinese workers stand on a pier before a cargo ship at a port in Qingdao, east China's Shandong province on April 13, 2017
Chinese workers stand on a pier before a cargo ship at a port in Qingdao, east China's Shandong province on April 13, 2017 - Sputnik International
Chinese workers stand on a pier before a cargo ship at a port in Qingdao, east China's Shandong province on April 13, 2017
Vyacheslav Belov, an analyst at the Russian Academy of Sciences' Institute of Europe, told Sputnik that the EU has to tread carefully for fear of retribution if the proposal to crack down on cheap Chinese imports becomes law.

"The Europeans think that, despite their declarations of commitment to free trade, China is a protectionist power in foreign trade which continually prevents the import of European goods with high added value. This is the EU's answer, which is in fact a trade war," Balov said.

"It's not possible to count the losses in grams, euros, or yuan — you have to look at the sectors, the groups of goods. But for sure, if this kind of decision is taken, it will lead to reciprocal measures from the Chinese. Therefore, the EU and China again have to come to an agreement. It is a standoff? It will become one if the EU takes such a decision. For now, I think China is winning in this confrontation. Until recently, the EU, had acquiesced."

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Bian Yongzu, an expert at the Center for Financial Studies at China's National University, told Sputnik that the proposed new protectionist measures will have a greater negative effect on the EU than on China.

"The reality is that it's not that important for China whether they recognize the market status or not. The reason is that China remains the world's biggest industrial power, its products are highly competitive and the range of high-tech products is constantly growing," Bian said.

"Today, the Europeans are not importing Chinese goods because China asks them to, but because they need them. The European economy is experiencing some difficulties, in many cases European goods can't compete with Chinese goods. That's why the EU is trying to impose protectionist measures in order to slow the growth rate of Chinese industry. However, in the long term this will have a boomerang effect  on Europe's own development."

"If we look at the history of Chinese reform and the opening up of the economy, the speed of China's development grew despite increasing international competition. That's why these mistaken protectionist measures can bring only a short-term victory, but they can't improve the competitiveness of European enterprises."

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