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'You Yes Yet?' Tables May Have Turned in the Scottish Independence Debate

© Flickr / byronv2Scottish independence
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In 2014, during Scotland's heated independence debate, the official campaign against Scottish independence, Better Together, based their arguments on an array of claims about the Scottish economy, the benefits of EU membership, and the looming uncertainty that independence could bring.

Now those arguments have been turned on their head by pro-EU supporters, who are now using the very arguments Better Together used to ask "are you 'Yes' yet?"

EU Membership

The biggest trigger for this shift is the United Kingdom's vote to leave the European Union, which only 38% of people in Scotland voted in favor of.

The Better Together campaign's official Twitter account told people that voting for independence was a sure fire way to ensure that Scotland left the EU. Now, with Scotland voting to remain in the EU by 62% many are suggesting that independence is the only way to ensure that Scotland can stay in the EU, and polls this week have seen a huge surge in support for independence.

AAA Credit Rating

In 2014, the Better Together campaign suggested that an independent Scotland would lose its AAA credit rating. Due to the UK's vote to leave the EU, ratings agencies S&P and Fitch Ratings have now downgraded the UK's rating to AA, and have warned that more downgrades could occur as EU negotiations take place.

The very same year S&P stated that an independent Scotland would likely receive a AAA rating, in a report in February 2014 the ratings agency said that Scotland's GDP even without oil revenues was similar to other credit-worthy nations.

"Even excluding North Sea output and calculating per capita GDP only by looking at onshore income, Scotland would qualify for our highest economic assessment."

The Financial Districts Mass Exodus

A key argument in 2014 was that financial institutions would be forced to move South of the border if Scotland voted to leave the UK. Now, however, some have suggested that an independent Scotland in the EU could provide an attractive home to major financial groups.

Cheaper Shopping

2014 Better Together

2016 Post-Brexit

The increase in prices is a direct result in the drop in the value of the pound, and the loss of the AAA credit rating. Though in 2014 Tesco responded to the Better Together leaflet saying that it did not foresee a rise in costs as outlined on their election materials.

You Yes Yet?

Many have taken to Twitter to say that they voted 'No' in 2014, but would vote 'Yes' now.

Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said that a second independence referendum is "highly likely" though of course not everyone is really "yes yet."

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