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Without Compromise, There Could Be 'No End to Syria Conflict Until 2017'

© AP Photo / Alexander KotsIn this photo taken on Saturday, Jan. 30, 2016, Syrian government troops fire at Islamic State group positions near Mahin, Syria
In this photo taken on Saturday, Jan. 30, 2016, Syrian government troops fire at Islamic State group positions near Mahin, Syria - Sputnik International
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Proposing a weak confederation plan as a means of bringing peace to Syria, security analyst Michael O'Hanlon said that at the current pace, a complete peace settlement could take years.

According to Brookings Institution security expert Michael O'Hanlon, a Syrian peace agreement could be more than a year away, considering the current battlefield dynamics.

O'Hanlon proposed a scheme that would see Syria turn into a confederation in which the armed opposition is strengthened alongside the Syrian government. He added that in his view, the United States should more actively sponsor what he called the fragmented moderate opposition for this to happen.

"If we keep at the Vienna talks the way that they've been going so far, I think [US President Barack] Obama will just be totally frustrated and nothing good will happen, and we'll waste the whole year," O'Hanlon told Radio Sputnik.

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Part of the issue with battlefield dynamics could also reflect the economic aspects of the Syrian conflict, which were recently detailed by the Carnegie Endowment. 

O'Hanlon added that for his plan to work, which envisions autonomous areas across rebel-controlled Syria and President Bashar al-Assad staying in power in majority Alawite areas, all countries would have to agree and offer it as a single negotiated plan.

He added that while both Russia and the US support Kurdish autonomy, both must promise to avoid bringing up Kurdish independence to placate the Turkish side in the talks. Kurds have so far been excluded from the peace talks.

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