US, Iran Will Not Go to War if Nuclear Talks Fail - Middle East Expert

© REUTERS / Brendan Smialowski/PoolA meeting with P5+1
A meeting with P5+1 - Sputnik International
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Former US State Department Policy Planning Staff member and Middle East expert Suzanne Maloney said the United States is unlikely to start a war with Iran, even if the P5+1 group fails to produce a political agreement on Iran's nuclear program.

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — There is little likelihood of a war between the United States and Iran if the P5+1 nuclear negotiations fail to produce a deal, but there will be costs to all sides, former US State Department Policy Planning Staff member and Middle East expert Suzanne Maloney said on Wednesday.

“I do not believe that the choice is between a deal or a war. I think that is a very effective political slogan on the part of the [US President Barack Obama] administration to try to galvanize support for the deal,” Maloney stated at The Brookings Institution in Washington, DC.

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Maloney added that the United States has been able to exert influence over Iran through “other forms of coercive diplomacy,” including sanctions and covert actions.

Maloney noted that the prospect of a military conflict between the United States and Iran spanned the course of both the George W. Bush and Obama administrations, but neither administration was “terribly trigger happy.”

If the negotiating parties do not reach an agreement to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, “all sides lose and all options immediate come on the table,” Maloney said. She further commented that the United States stands to gain very little if it decides to walk away from negotiating table.

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“The longer this problem festers, the larger the Iranian nuclear program develops, and the greater the costs both to the regional security infrastructure, as well as the Iranian economy and the stability of the Iranian state,” she noted.

The P5+1 countries of Russia, the United States, the United Kingdom, China, France and Germany have been engaged in ongoing negotiations with Iran to reach a comprehensive deal ensuring the peaceful nature of its nuclear program.

The nuclear talks reached a self-imposed deadline on Tuesday, March 31, for a political framework agreement, but the negotiating parties agreed to extend the discussions.

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