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Merkel Flying High as 'Schulz Effect' Fails to Deliver for Ex-EU Chief

© REUTERS / Francois LenoirGermany's Chancellor Angela Merkel holds a news conference during a European Union leaders summit in Brussels, Belgium, October 21, 2016.
Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel holds a news conference during a European Union leaders summit in Brussels, Belgium, October 21, 2016. - Sputnik International
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel - fighting for a fourth term in power at the upcoming federal election - is riding high in the polls in a turnaround since the beginning of the year, when all best were on Martin Schulz, the ex-European Parliament President forming the next government.

Social Democratic Party (SPD) leader Martin Schulz (C) speaks after the publication of the preliminary results of the regional elections in the West German state of North Rhine-Westphalia at the headquarters of the SPD in Berlin on May 14, 2017 - Sputnik International
Merkel Boost as Ex-EU Chief Schultz Loses Crucial German Regional Election
Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) are in grand coalition with the Social Democrats (SPD), but Schulz resigned from the European Parliament presidency so that he could stand against her for the SPD. Initial polls at the start of the year suggested he had a clear lead over her and that the majority wanted him to form any new government, rather than Merkel.

However, the so-called "Schulz effect" has failed to materialize and his SPD party have lost three crucial regional elections in a row — in North Rhine-Westphalia, Schleswig-Holstein and Saarland, with Merkel topping the polls each time. 

The latest opinion poll, the Stern-RTL-Wahltrend, has Merkels CDU/CSU party on 39 percent, with the SPD dropping back to 25 percent. Meanwhile percent said Merkel was the preferred Chancellor while Schulz's support slumped to just 22 percent.

This is a remarkable turnaround since March when a poll found that — in the event of another grand coalition, 44 percent of voters would prefer Schulz to form the next government, rather than Merkel.

© REUTERS / Fabrizio BenschFar right-wing supporters march during rally against the German government's immigration policies and migrants, near-by the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany.
Far right-wing supporters march during rally against the German government's immigration policies and migrants, near-by the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany. - Sputnik International
Far right-wing supporters march during rally against the German government's immigration policies and migrants, near-by the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany.

'Open Doors' Policy

For Merkel, it has been a roller coaster two years — ever since she caused consternation within German and abroad over her "open doors" policy on refugees, which she announced in a speech, August 2015.

As a million migrants flooded into Germany, Merkel was criticized for failing to give the federal states the resources to deal with them and tens of thousands arrived on false documents. Opinion polls showed her flagging for months, but she has managed to claw back her popularity in recent months.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel - Sputnik International
Auf Wiedersehen, Pet? Merkel's Reign in Jeopardy as SPD Surge Under Schulz

It is unclear why Schulz has failed to make an impact so far, although he may be suffering a backlash from euroskeptics amid rising nationalism. Partly it may be that he has been tied up in European affairs for too long and lost touch with the national political agenda.

The SPD party is to relaunch its manifesto over the coming days in the hope it can set out better its priorities for government.

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